Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.039571 0.042810 0.046216 0.050070 0.054315 0.058854 0.064087
2025-03-09 0.033977 0.038481 0.043482 0.049471 0.056474 0.064441 0.074236
2025-03-16 0.029985 0.035123 0.041065 0.048491 0.057584 0.068436 0.082486
2025-03-23 0.027259 0.032804 0.039431 0.048007 0.058916 0.072471 0.090810
2025-03-30 0.025110 0.030909 0.038035 0.047534 0.060020 0.076090 0.098693
2025-04-06 0.023117 0.029007 0.036416 0.046549 0.060253 0.078440 0.104920
2025-04-13 0.022032 0.028156 0.036034 0.047078 0.062433 0.083439 0.115088
2025-04-20 0.020886 0.027126 0.035315 0.047052 0.063781 0.087308 0.123890
2025-04-27 0.020101 0.026514 0.035093 0.047653 0.065996 0.092501 0.135024
2025-05-04 0.019111 0.025551 0.034312 0.047383 0.066892 0.095771 0.143438
2025-05-11 0.018249 0.024710 0.033640 0.047203 0.067867 0.099179 0.152297
2025-05-18 0.017418 0.023863 0.032902 0.046861 0.068542 0.102125 0.160606
2025-05-25 0.016730 0.023191 0.032389 0.046833 0.069716 0.105969 0.170832
2025-06-01 0.015907 0.022282 0.031476 0.046135 0.069771 0.107993 0.178087
2025-06-08 0.015085 0.021334 0.030455 0.045200 0.069369 0.109202 0.183965
2025-06-15 0.014451 0.020634 0.029770 0.044748 0.069711 0.111663 0.192308
2025-06-22 0.013867 0.019982 0.029122 0.044311 0.070035 0.114091 0.200779
2025-06-29 0.013211 0.019191 0.028221 0.043405 0.069493 0.114932 0.206242
2025-07-06 0.012922 0.018952 0.028168 0.043891 0.071373 0.120231 0.220969
2025-07-13 0.012536 0.018543 0.027826 0.043867 0.072344 0.123920 0.232790
2025-07-20 0.012297 0.018356 0.027827 0.044420 0.074371 0.129718 0.249575
2025-07-27 0.011904 0.017906 0.027381 0.044172 0.074917 0.132714 0.260669
2025-08-03 0.011550 0.017504 0.026994 0.044006 0.075596 0.136006 0.272734